/Mark Cuban is betting $1 million that Amazon and Netflix will best the S&P 500 over 10 years — and another $1 million on crypto to do the same

Mark Cuban is betting $1 million that Amazon and Netflix will best the S&P 500 over 10 years — and another $1 million on crypto to do the same


Mark Cuban
Mark Cuban.

  • Mark Cuban is betting $1 million that Netflix and Amazon will outperform the S&P 500.
  • He’s also wagering $1 million that bitcoin or ethereum will beat the index over 10 years.
  • Warren Buffett bet on the benchmark to beat hedge funds over a decade, and won.
  • See more stories on Insider’s business page.


Billionaire Mark Cuban is so confident that his two favorite stocks and the top cryptocurrencies will outperform the S&P 500 index over the next decade, that he’s willing to bet $2 million on that outcome.

The “Shark Tank” investor and Dallas Mavericks owner has agreed to a pair of wagers with Peter Mallouk, the CEO of Creative Planning, a wealth-management firm.

Cuban tweeted he will stake $1 million on a 50-50 split of Netflix and Amazon stock beating the benchmark over the next 10 years. He will bet another $1 million on Mallouk’s choice of either bitcoin or ethereum doing the same. Mallouk will bet on the S&P 500 in both cases.

The two men agreed to make the two bets this week after butting heads over the value of a diversified portfolio and the long-term viability of cryptocurrencies. The argument was sparked by Mallouk criticizing Cuban for promoting dogecoin, then predicting that 99% of cryptocurrencies will end up worthless, and touting stocks as superior to crypto.

“If you buy a hundred stocks, odds are most go up,” Mallouk tweeted. “If you buy a hundred cryptocurrencies, most will go to zero. Big difference.”

“Only a fool would buy 100 stocks or 100 crypto assets,” Cuban replied. To settle their dispute, Cuban and Mallouk agreed to convert $4 million into crypto, set up smart contracts that will automatically pay the victors in 10 years’ time, and donate the proceeds to charity.

The pair’s bet echoes a famous wager between billionaire investor Warren Buffett and hedge-fund manager Ted Seides in 2007. Buffett staked $1 million on the S&P 500 besting a basket of hedge funds over the course of a decade, and won.

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